Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 6.062258 6.673987 7.349502 8.156250 9.100792 10.180792 11.522482
2024-10-13 4.946424 5.718337 6.637002 7.830308 9.369426 11.332407 14.103861
2024-10-20 4.286510 5.108182 6.133626 7.541905 9.484885 12.170690 16.366307
2024-10-27 3.862488 4.709134 5.804737 7.376748 9.668164 13.060645 18.867399
2024-11-03 3.568699 4.434417 5.589437 7.310631 9.945376 14.102108 21.881718
2024-11-10 3.476407 4.411285 5.701843 7.710165 10.967365 16.524061 28.212109
2024-11-17 3.325213 4.288282 5.653617 7.853146 11.594448 18.420580 34.403071
2024-11-24 3.120476 4.070217 5.442262 7.708426 11.700946 19.368905 38.946560
2024-12-01 2.963725 3.908340 5.298176 7.650871 11.945001 20.642685 45.053491
2024-12-08 2.799377 3.723156 5.101911 7.481741 11.951043 21.411729 50.251211
2024-12-15 2.682151 3.600156 4.991724 7.445610 12.203257 22.797607 58.491650
2024-12-22 2.575226 3.485612 4.885351 7.403006 12.433103 24.197812 68.128995
2024-12-29 2.510480 3.440021 4.899608 7.604332 13.263667 27.578325 91.438577
2025-01-05 2.359670 3.252753 4.669598 7.334170 13.041194 28.079815 102.288761
2025-01-12 2.224663 3.082742 4.456424 7.073857 12.798645 28.461871 113.715208
2025-01-19 2.121016 2.956738 4.308576 6.923654 12.785406 29.562594 133.075961
2025-01-26 2.041241 2.864580 4.211963 6.863438 12.976756 31.430761 165.157556
2025-02-02 2.034544 2.890184 4.320669 7.227019 14.298549 38.039763 288.093875
2025-02-09 1.992183 2.854092 4.316792 7.356928 15.050855 43.089290 464.347823
2025-02-16 1.915995 2.757379 4.196747 7.225439 15.058382 44.973143 616.584508
2025-02-23 1.855885 2.684964 4.116638 7.173114 15.285099 48.103125 936.342901
2025-03-02 1.786365 2.593450 3.995888 7.019255 15.185880 49.584229 1294.756134
2025-03-09 1.736767 2.533935 3.931460 6.986367 15.450542 53.301876 2403.895552